Backtesting & Performance Analytics

Last run: 31 May 2026, 08:42 IST

CAGR

38.4%

vs 14.2% Nifty benchmark
Jan 2025 – May 2026

Sharpe Ratio

1.84

Excellent (>1.5)
Risk-adjusted return

Sortino Ratio

2.31

Strong downside protection
Downside risk-adjusted

Max Drawdown

−12.7%

Recovery: 18 trading days
Mar 2025 (Budget Day)

Win Rate

61.4%

+3.2% vs last quarter
519 / 847 trades

Profit Factor

2.18

Target: >2.0 ✓
Gross profit / gross loss

Avg Trade P&L

₹1,842

Avg winner: ₹4,210
Per closed trade

Expectancy

₹1,124

Avg loser: −₹2,180
Per ₹ risked

Equity Curve

EMA Trend — NIFTY Weekly · ₹8L initial capital

Strategy
Nifty B&H
+68.4%

Underwater Drawdown

% below peak equity at each point

Max DD

−12.7%

Avg DD

−2.8%

Monthly Returns Heatmap

EMA Trend Strategy — NIFTY Weekly

Loss
Gain
Strong
YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2025
+4.2
+5.1
-5.8
+9.8
+5.2
+5.1
+5.8
-2.9
+7.8
+4.3
-2.4
+5.9
+42.1%
2026
+3.6
+3.6
+3.5
+2.6
+2.2
+15.5%

Strategy Comparison

Jan 2025 – May 2026 · Same capital

EMA TrendBest
+38.4%

Sharpe

1.84

Max DD

-12.7%

Win%

61.4%

Trades

847

ORB
+31.2%

Sharpe

1.62

Max DD

-9.8%

Win%

58.2%

Trades

412

VWAP Rev
+24.8%

Sharpe

1.41

Max DD

-14.2%

Win%

54.6%

Trades

1024

Supertrend
+28.6%

Sharpe

1.55

Max DD

-11.4%

Win%

57.1%

Trades

634

Momentum
+19.4%

Sharpe

1.22

Max DD

-16.8%

Win%

51.3%

Trades

286

OI Buildup
+22.1%

Sharpe

1.34

Max DD

-13.1%

Win%

53.8%

Trades

378

Trade Log

12 trades+68,905 total8/12 wins
DateTimeInstrumentStrikeTypeDirLotsEntryExitP&LP&L%Exit ReasonStrategyConfidenceDurationSlippage
31 May09:28NIFTY24,400CE
LONG
3198.00258.40+8,640+30.5%Target HitORB91%4h 12m0.8
31 May09:42NIFTY24,500CE
LONG
2182.50241.30+11,760+32.2%Trailing SLEMA Trend84%5h 30m1.2
30 May10:15BANKNIFTY52,000PE
SHORT
1310.00284.60-1,905-8.2%SL HitVWAP Rev78%3h 23m2.1
30 May11:30FINNIFTY23,200CE
LONG
1145.00162.80+1,246+12.3%Target HitSupertrend76%2h 10m0.5
29 May09:22NIFTY24,300CE
LONG
4112.00187.50+18,000+67.4%Target HitORB94%1h 48m1.4
29 May13:45BANKNIFTY51,500PE
LONG
2245.00198.00-5,640-19.2%SL HitOI Buildup71%45m3.2
28 May10:05NIFTY24,200CE
LONG
2165.00218.40+6,408+32.4%Target HitEMA Trend82%3h 55m0.9
27 May09:35MIDCPNIFTY12,400PE
LONG
288.00102.50+1,450+16.5%Partial TargetMomentum77%2h 20m0.6
Showing 18 of 12 trades